The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (4-7) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Jaguars vs. Lions Over/Under is 51.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 13 game with 60.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 13 with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Darrell Henderson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 55% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 74.5 -120 | 74.5 -110 |
Jaguars Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Lions Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have scored first in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).
- Jaguars are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -26.24% ROI
- Jaguars are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 7-4 (+2.5 Units / 20.58% ROI).
- Lions are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -18.22% ROI
- Lions are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Lions are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Jaguars are winless (0-11) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.
The Jaguars are winless (0-6) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Jaguars are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Jaguars are winless (0-18) on the road since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Lions are 3-3-1 (.429) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .732.
The Lions are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.