The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) on Nov. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kansas City.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 10 game with 84.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 10 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mecole Hardman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+4.45 Units / 87% ROI)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets for Week 10:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 56% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 10:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -34.71% ROI
- Jaguars are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI
- Jaguars are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 3-5 (-2.55 Units / -28.81% ROI).
- Chiefs are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.33% ROI
- Chiefs are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chiefs are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Jaguars are winless (0-10) on the road since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Jaguars are 3-5 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .777.
The Jaguars are winless (0-5) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.
The Jaguars are winless (0-2) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .386.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Chiefs are undefeated (3-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .634.
The Chiefs are undefeated (4-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .558.