The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Inglewood.
The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (+100).
The Jaguars vs. Chargers Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 3 game with 52.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 3 with 62.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- James Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- DeAndre Carter has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Kirk | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
| Evan Engram | 34.5 -110 | 34.5 -115 |
| Marvin Jones Jr. | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| Zay Jones | 32.5 -115 | 32.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| James Robinson | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -115 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
Jaguars Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Chargers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jaguars are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 20% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jaguars are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Chargers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Chargers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Chargers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Jaguars are 1-3 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .801.
The Jaguars are winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Jaguars were winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.
The Jaguars are winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Chargers are 7-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL. The Jaguars have intercepted 11 passes since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-fewest in NFL.
The Chargers are 3-3 (.500) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .262.