The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-3) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (9-3) on Nov. 25 in Las Cruces.
Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico State will win this game with 53.5% confidence.
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville State and New Mexico State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Jacksonville State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+29.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+16.25 Units / 96% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Diego Pavia has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jonathan Brady has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jamoni Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 47.93% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 25.56% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 9-2 against the spread this college football season (+6.85 Units / 51.89% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.65 Units / 53.14% ROI
- New Mexico State is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- New Mexico State is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Jacksonville State is 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .451
Jacksonville State is winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .391
Jacksonville State was winless (0-1) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Jacksonville State was winless (0-1) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .446
New Mexico State is 6-17 (.261) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 29th-worst in FBS; Average: .430
New Mexico State is 10-3 (.769) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 11th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .500
New Mexico State is 10-3 (.625) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 12th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .451
New Mexico State is 8-19 (.296) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
New Mexico State have just 188.9 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 196.5 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs has 96 receptions in 11 games (just 8.7 per game) this season — tied for 13th-worst among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.