The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders host the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, as we make the best Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction based on the best college football odds.
The Gamecocks are 4-1 with their only loss coming on the road at Coastal Carolina. Their offense is led by Malik Jackson, a running back who has helped his team average 224.4 rushing yards per game. Quarterback Logan Smothers has yet to throw an interception this season.
The Blue Raiders are 1-4, and they have lost two in a row. Their opponents have outscored them 62-33 in those two contests. The offense has eight turnovers this season and five in their last two games.
Here is our best Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Week 6
Not only are the Blue Raiders favored in this game, but oddsmakers have set this spread above the key number. It's very fishy considering the records of these two teams and how they have looked both offensively and defensively this season.
While the Gamecocks seem like the easy play, we're going with the team that has faced a really daunting schedule this season. Every team the Blue Raiders have faced this year is .500 or better, and they began the season with back-to-back road games at Alabama and Missouri. Yet, they're still averaging 361.4 yards per game, which is just 1.2 fewer than what the Gamecocks are averaging.
The Gamecocks are currently eighth in the NCAA in rushing yards per game. However, their average is very inflated because of a 295-yard rushing performance against Eastern Michigan. The Blue Raiders are allowing 140.8 yards on the ground per game, but only two teams have rushed for over 200 yards against them.
However, what this game will really come down to is turnovers. The Gamecocks are tied for 18th in the NCAA in turnover margin, while the Blue Raiders are in the bottom 10.
While this may seem like a reason to take the Gamecocks, we're looking at it differently. Without any turnovers in Week 2, the Blue Raiders nearly beat Missouri. In each of their losses this season, they've turned the ball over at least twice. Against the best team they've faced this season, the Gamecocks forced zero turnovers and lost by 14.
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Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
| -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
All of our best sports betting apps are offering the same spread for the same price. At the moment, every sportsbook is also offering the same total for the same price, so there isn't even an advantage when looking for a parlay opportunity.
Keep an eye on the spread throughout the week, and if a shop ever drops this down to -3 for -110, then definitely jump in.
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee odds
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee odds analysis
The Blue Raiders opened as 4.5-point home favorites, but the line has dropped to 3.5. Bettors are split 50/50 on who they expect to cover in this game, but that hasn't stopped oddsmakers from putting the key number in play.
As for the total, the number opened at 51.5 and that is where it has remained. There hasn't been much action to speak of from bettors, so it's hard to know where this line will move. It's worth noting that three of the Gamecocks' games finished with fewer points than this total, but the same can be said for just two of the Blue Raiders' games.
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee game info
- When: Wednesday, October, 4 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
- How to watch: ESPNU
- Weather: 58 degrees, 5-mph winds, 11% chance of precipitation
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction made 10/02/2023 at 9:52 a.m. ET.
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