The Jacksonville State Gamecocks meet the FIU Panthers in the opening game of Week 9's Wednesday doubleheader, and we offer our best Jacksonville State-FIU prediction based on the best college football odds from our best sports betting apps.
Jacksonville State boasts a 6-2 overall record and an impressive 4-1 record in Conference USA play during its inaugural season at the FBS level, surpassing an initial projection of 4.5 wins. One of the standout moments in its season was a remarkable 20-17 walk-off victory over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in Week 8, where it defied the odds as a 7.5-point home underdog.
On the other hand, FIU currently holds a 4-4 overall record and a 1-4 record in CUSA play. It recently broke a three-game losing streak with a decisive 33-27 victory on the road against Sam Houston in Week 8. This win is particularly noteworthy as it marks a significant turnarou nd for the team, considering their prior losses by margins of 13 points or more. Notably, Florida International is one of four teams in CUSA with one or fewer conference wins.
As part of our college football predictions for Week 9, here is our best Jacksonville State-FIU prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Jacksonville State vs. FIU prediction: Week 9
Jacksonville State gets the rare opportunity as a CUSA member (and first-year FBS school) to play on the road at an SEC school (South Carolina) next week. And while we would usually be wary of a situation like that as a lookahead spot, the Gamecocks have seemed like a focused group and a team on a mission all year long under head coach Rich Rodriguez. They would love nothing more than to keep racking up wins to match their nine from 2022 before the tr ansition.
Though the Gamecocks entered Week 8 against Western Kentucky allowing just 19.4 points per outing, there were still questions about their defensive depth and the grind of an FBS-level schedule wearing on them. They had allowed 29.7 points per game over the previous three matchups.
Most expected the Hilltoppers' prolific passing attack with quarterback Austin Reed, who led the nation in 2022 with 4,746 passing yards, to carve up the Gamecocks' secondary. After all, Jacksonville State's unit had allowed explosive plays on 14.3% of opposing teams' 112 passing attempts over those three prior weeks. However, the Gamecocks limited Reed to 250 passing yards and a 50.0 completion percentage. The Hilltoppers managed just 17 points, which was 17.5 points below their projected team total of 34.5.
Jacksonville State shouldn't struggle to defend an FIU offense that entered Week 8 ranked 117th or wo rse in finishing drives, havoc, and offensive success rate. The Gamecocks' only two losses have been to top-75 SP+ teams, and they should easily control the pace and line of scrimmage against an inferior FIU team.
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Jacksonville State vs. FIU best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -8 | -7.5 | -7.5 | -8 | -8 |
| -112 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
FanDuel and BetMGM are our preferred shops for this wager as the only of the best sportsbooks offering a line of -7.5.
We would explore the options of an alternate spread of -6.5 if the price was right (don't go beyond -140 odds). Either way, we expect the Gamecocks to relish the role of being a significant favorite, as they've spent the last three weeks as underdogs while accumulating two outright wins during that stretch. They also easily covered during their only game as favorites of more than a touchdown (a 49-3 victory as 20-point favorites against East Tennessee State).
Jacksonville State vs. FIU odds
Jacksonville State vs. FIU odds analysis
FanDuel (from -7 to -7.5), Caesars (from -7.5 to -8), and DraftKings (from -7 to -8) have all moved the spread in Jacksonville State's favor. Jacksonville State is gene rating 57% of the action. The team is 5-2-1 ATS in 2023.
Caesars and bet365 offer a total of 44, while all of our other best sports betting sites are at 44.5. FanDuel has experienced the most significant change since its opening number, likely due to sharp action. The line plummeted from 47.5.
Jacksonville State vs. FIU game info
- When: Wednesday, Oct. 25 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL
- How to watch: CBSSN
- Weather: 83 degrees, 15% chance of precipitation, 20-mph easterly winds
Jacksonville State-FIU prediction made 10/23/2023 at 6:08 a.m. ET.
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