The Iowa Hawkeyes (4-4) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (5-3) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in West Lafayette.
Purdue are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Over/Under for Iowa vs. Purdue is 41 total points.
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Iowa vs Purdue Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 56.3% confidence.
Iowa vs Purdue Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.89 Units / 35% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.18 Units / 33% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa has gone 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).
- Iowa is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -4.42% ROI
- Iowa is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Iowa is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue has gone 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Purdue is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 17.13% ROI
- Purdue is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Purdue is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Iowa is 9-2 (.818) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Iowa is 7-3 (.583) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462
Iowa is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505
Iowa is 7-2 (.636) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444
Purdue is 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Purdue is 7-4 (.538) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373
Purdue is 10-7 (.526) when passing for more than 200 yards — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403
Purdue is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .621
Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 7,239 passing yards in 20 games (362.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 210.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.