The Iowa Hawkeyes (2-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Iowa vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 35.5 total points.
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Iowa vs Minnesota Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Seth Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Addison Ostrenga has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kamari Moulton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -37.68% ROI).
- Iowa is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -1.7% ROI
- Iowa is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Iowa is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
- Minnesota is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.1% ROI
- Minnesota is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI
Iowa is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .291
Iowa is 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .392
Iowa is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294
Iowa is 8-1 (.889) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Minnesota is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Minnesota is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .453
Minnesota is winless (0-7) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Minnesota is 2-6 (.154) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 2,526 passing yards in 16 games (just 157.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 177.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s TEs has gained 339 yards on 37 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.