Iowa vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Iowa vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Champaign.

Illinois are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for Iowa vs. Illinois is 36.5 total points.

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Iowa vs Illinois Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 56.4% confidence.

Iowa vs Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Isaiah Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.65 Units / 50% ROI)

  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)

  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+18.40 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Iowa is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -6.84% ROI
  • Iowa is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Iowa is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois has gone 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Illinois is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 32.97% ROI
  • Illinois is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Illinois is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Iowa is 6-2 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

Iowa is 12-3 (.706) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2020 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Iowa is 10-6 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

Iowa is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .477

Illinois is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

  
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