The Indiana Hoosiers (3-7) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (5-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Lansing.
Michigan State are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Indiana vs. Michigan State is 47.5 total points.
Bet now on Michigan State vs Indiana & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 64.8% confidence.
Indiana vs Michigan State Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 67.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Connor Bazelak has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Connor Bazelak has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tre Mosley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarek Broussard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.35 Units / 59% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.29 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana has gone 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).
- Indiana is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -41.03% ROI
- Indiana is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Indiana is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.53% ROI).
- Michigan State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 19.82% ROI
- Michigan State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Michigan State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Indiana is winless (0-11) when rushing more than 30 times — worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454
Indiana is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .396
Indiana is winless (0-9) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .519
Indiana is winless (0-12) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452
Michigan State is 15-2 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 4th-best in FBS; Average: .494