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Whoever predicted Illinois and Nebraska would be a battle of ranked Big Ten unbeatens in Week 4, collect your winnings at the window.
Our Illinois vs. Nebraska early predictions and odds see room to slide underneath a low total for a game between two teams that run remarkably slow paces offensively, preferring to let their stout defenses lead the way.
My early Illinois vs. Nebraska prediction: Under 43.5
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Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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While Illinois and Nebraska have combined to score an average of 60 points per game through three weeks, their opponents have been completely stymied. The Huskers have permitted just 8.5 PPG with the Illini allowing only 13 PPG.
Individual matchups with power conference programs have resulted in low scores as Nebraska beat Colorado, 28-10, while Illinois outlasted Kansas, 23-17. Neither offense ranks among the FBS top 25 in yards per game and both run a slow pace, ranking 115th or lower in seconds per play on the year.
To add to the lean toward a defensive battle, the early forecast projects the potential for some rain in Lincoln on Friday night. Between two teams with passing offenses outside the top 50 in FBS in yards per game, this one could play out as a low-scoring battle for ball control.
We recommend grabbing this pick earlier in the week because I'm anticipating the total shrinking to ward 40 as gametime approaches on Friday night.
Don't miss our guide for how to bet on college football or this week's best sportsbook promos.
Illinois vs. Nebraska live odds
See the college football odds from our best college football betting sites for every Week 4 game.
- Nebraska best odds: -310 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 75.61%
- Illinois best odds: +285 via bet365 | Implied probability: 25.97%
Nebraska opened at -350 on the moneyline, and we saw some initial movement toward Illinois that dropped the Huskers to as low as -270 in some spots Monday morning.
Things have leveled back toward the opening mark at most of our best sportsbooks, with Nebraska -310 at DraftKings presenting as the best value.
Illinois backers could look to wait for more money to pour in on the home team before jumping in, as the plus-odds at bet365 have increased throughout Monday.
- Nebraska best odds: -8.5 (-105) via FanDuel
- Illinois best odds: +9 (-110) via DraftKings
After opening at Nebraska -8.5, we've seen the line hold at both BetMGM and FanDuel with the two books splitting the difference on which team's spread has moved to -105 odds.
Caesars, bet365, and DraftKings have pushed the Huskers to -9, so those are the places to bet Illinois with -110 odds at each shop.
- Over best odds: 43.5 (-108) via DraftKings
- Under best odds: 43.5 (-110) via BetMGM
We haven't seen much movement on this total as of Monday afternoon. It opened at 43.5 (-110) and has remained in that spot at all of our best sportsbooks aside from DraftKings, which has shifted to a -108/-112 split on the Over/Under at that 43.5 number.
With a pair of top-50 defenses by yards per game matching up, we could see this total dip closer to 40 throughout the week.
How to watch Illinois vs. Nebraska
- When: Friday, September 20
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, Neb.)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 70 degrees, 60% chance of precipitation, wind 12 mph E
- Favorite: Nebraska (-310 via DraftKings)
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