The Illinois Fighting Illini (7-3) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (10-0) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Ann Arbor.
Michigan are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Illinois vs. Michigan is 41.5 total points.
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Illinois vs Michigan Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 72.1% confidence.
Illinois vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 68.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ronnie Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+17.40 Units / 223% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.82 Units / 65% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+14.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.87 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI).
- Illinois is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -11.98% ROI
- Illinois is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI
- Illinois is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan has gone 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).
- Michigan is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 10.25% ROI
- Michigan is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -51.82% ROI
- Michigan is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 43.64% ROI
#18 Illinois is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296
#18 Illinois is 3-7 (.300) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499
Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509
#4 Michigan is undefeated (19-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — best in FBS; Average: .513
#4 Michigan is 21-2 (.913) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .494
#4 Michigan is undefeated (15-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600
#4 Michigan is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Michigan’s RBs has 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — fifth-most among FBS RBs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season — fourth-fewest among Big Ten defenses.