Houston vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9
Houston vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

The Houston Cougars (3-4) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (5-2) on Oct. 28 in Manhattan.

Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Houston vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Houston vs Kansas State Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 89.6% confidence.

Houston vs Kansas State Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)

  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Houston Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Houston players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matthew Golden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Joseph Manjack IV has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Samuel Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jadon Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI).

  • Houston is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -20.08% ROI
  • Houston is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Houston is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -10.59% ROI
  • Kansas State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Kansas State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Houston is winless (0-4) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

Houston is winless (0-1) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .378

Houston is winless (0-3) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .323

Houston is winless (0-2) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .430

Kansas State is undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .641

Kansas State is 11-4 (.647) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 35th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Kansas State is 20-7 (.741) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .566

Kansas State is 10-4 (.588) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

Kansas State’s TEs has been targeted 51 times this season — fourth-most among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 1,821 receiving yards this season — second-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s TEs has gained 409 yards on 30 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — tied for second-best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

  
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