The Houston Cougars (4-7) visit FBC Mortgage Stadium to take on the UCF Knights (5-6) on Nov. 25 in Orlando.
Central Florida is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Houston vs. Central Florida Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Houston vs Central Florida Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 82.2% confidence.
Houston vs Central Florida Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 73.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Central Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Central Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Houston Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Houston players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matthew Golden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Tony Mathis Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Parker Jenkins has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Central Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Central Florida players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Javon Baker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- John Rhys Plumlee has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- John Rhys Plumlee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- Houston is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -29.46% ROI
- Houston is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Houston is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Central Florida is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -6.27% ROI
- Central Florida is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Central Florida is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Houston is 1-4 (.042) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
Houston is winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379
Houston is winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338
Houston is winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .327
UCF is 5-9 (.152) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
UCF is 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2022 season– 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .381
UCF is 4-7 (.174) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451
UCF is 5-7 (.208) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .362
UCF has gained 2,608 yards on 173 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 272 attempts this season — tied for ninth-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.0% of attempts this season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.