Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For May 12
The Prop Hub provides their daily home run prop picks and predictions for Friday, May 12 with odds provided by FanDuel.
The Prop Hub’s home run prop predictions article comes out every day and is the most widely read home run props page online.
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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Nick Castellanos (+340)
In the Phillies first go-around with the Rockies Nick Castellanos went 6-16 with two home runs in their four-game series at Citizens Bank Park.
These two teams will kick off a three-game set tonight at Coors Field with the Rockies sending Austin Gomber to the mound.
Although Gomber sits with a 6.75 ERA he has rounded into form recently but Castellanos has loved facing left-handed pitching.
This season Castellanos is hitting .343 against lefties with two of his five home runs coming in 35 at-bats compared to him hitting .315 with three home runs in 108 at-bats against righties.
On the season 50% of balls put in play off Gomber pitches have been fly balls which is a negative for him playing at home in Coors Field tonight.
Get Castellanos to hit a home run tonight at +340 while other Phillies hitters possibly hitting a home run include J.T. Realmuto (+390) and Trea Turner (+420).
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Josh Jung (+390)
It's known by now the Athletics have one of if not the worst pitching staff in the MLB as they send lefty Ken Waldichuk to take on the Rangers tonight at 9:40pm ET.
He's allowed a whopping 12 home runs already this season in just 36 innings pitched and when you break it down even further, Waldichuk allows a home run to right-handed hitters once every 11 at-bats!
This leaves a great shot for third baseman Josh Jung to hit a home run tonight batting .353 with four home runs in 34 at-bats against lefties on the season.
His other four home runs have come against righties in 105 at-bats so metrics show Jung prefers lefties over righties when it comes to the long ball.
This is a juicy matchup for all Rangers hitters so in addition to Jung listed at +390 to hit a home run, you could also look at Marcus Semien (+390) and Jonah Heim (+470) to hit home runs tonight against the Athletics as well!