Heat vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8
Heat vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

The Miami Heat visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 31-31 against the spread, while the Thunder are 38-23 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 82.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Thunder.

Thunder vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 away games (+27.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 32 games (+19.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 86 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 58 of their last 95 games (+18.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 71 games (+18.50 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 26 games at home (+19.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+16.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.10 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-31 (-3 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 35-27 against the Moneyline (+4.5 Units / 4.24% ROI)
  • 24-38 against the Over for game total points (-17.8 Units / -26.1% ROI)
  • 38-24 against the Under for game total points (+11.6 Units / 17.01% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 38-23 (+12.65 Units / 18.55% ROI).

  • 43-19 against the Moneyline (+11.45 Units / 6.57% ROI)
  • 33-25 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 8.05% ROI)
  • 25-33 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -16.45% ROI)

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 59 games (-18.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-17.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-14.15 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 70 games (-13.80 Units / -18% ROI)

  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 94 games (-26.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 71 games (-25.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-25.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-16.35 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

  • Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
  • Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Miami Heat Offensive stats
  • Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
  • Miami Heat Defensive stats
  • Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

  
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