Hawaii vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

The Hawai’i Warriors (1-5) visit University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos (2-4) on Oct. 21 in Albuquerque.

Hawaii is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Hawaii vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 60 total points.

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Hawaii vs New Mexico Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Hawaii will win this game with 52.6% confidence.

Hawaii vs New Mexico Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawaii will cover the spread with 70.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Hawaii and New Mexico, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Hawaii Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Hawaii players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brayden Schager has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Brayden Schager has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Tylan Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Steven McBride has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Tylan Hines has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Hawaii is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI).

  • Hawaii is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -22.73% ROI
  • Hawaii is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Hawaii is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.58% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -7.19% ROI
  • New Mexico is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • New Mexico is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Hawai’i is 2-13 (.133) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .416

Hawai’i is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .402

Hawai’i was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427

Hawai’i was 1-8 (.091) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for 5th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .340

New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: .694

New Mexico is 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .691

New Mexico is winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

New Mexico is 1-15 (.062) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

  
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