The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Tuesday, October 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Bronx for this postseason game.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Guardians vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 96-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 74-92 ATS.
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+14.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+13.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games at home (+9.75 Units / 81% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 149 games (+27.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 away games (+16.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 away games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 77 games at home (+15.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 88-80 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 2.51% ROI).
- 96-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.15 Units / 10.43% ROI
- 76-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -7.62% ROI
- 82-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -0.89% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 74-92 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -10.4% ROI).
- 101-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -0.46% ROI
- 77-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.2 Units / -7.79% ROI
- 83-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -1.14% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .113 (8-for-71) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .276 – 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (72-for-444) against Nestor Cortes' fastball since the start of last season – 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .261 – 98th Percentile.