The Cleveland Guardians (+180) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Tuesday, October 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37pm EDT in Bronx in Game 1 of the AL Division Series.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Guardians vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 94-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 72-90 ATS.

Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s ALDS matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 away games (+14.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 58 games (+12.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• Austin Hedges has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• Austin Hedges has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+11.25 Units / 70% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 87 of their last 145 games (+26.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 38 away games (+16.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+14.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 58 away games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+7.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 75 games at home (+16.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 86-78 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 2.88% ROI).

• 94-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.8 Units / 10.46% ROI
• 75-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -7.02% ROI
• 80-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.44% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 72-90 against the Run Line (-20.25 Units / -10.72% ROI).

• 99-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.21% ROI
• 76-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -7.18% ROI
• 81-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -1.7% ROI

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (262/1,420) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

30 of Cal Quantrill’s 101 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has thrown his slider 37% of the time (522/1,403) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

51% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of 1.300 (117 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .999 — fourth Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has struck out 36% (129/355) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 61% of the time (1,243/2,050) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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