The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Guardians are 73-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 67-60 ATS.

Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 2-5, 4.99 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 4-2, 4.18 ERA

Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 41 games (+30.50 Units / 74% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 22 away games (+18.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.80 Units / 50% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.95 Units / 77% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.25 Units / 70% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 126 games (+12.67 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.80 Units / 82% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 70 games (+23.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 93 games (+14.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-64 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -0.89% ROI).

• 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.67 Units / 7.91% ROI
• 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.19% ROI
• 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.55% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 67-60 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.18% ROI).

• 74-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -3.2% ROI
• 70-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.3 Units / 8.06% ROI
• 53-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.9 Units / -17.14% ROI

Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (99/351) against Gavin Williams since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

17 of Gavin Williams’ 61 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.

Gavin Williams has an ERA of 2.67 (54.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — 93rd Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting just .206 (42-for-204) against Gavin Williams since last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 93rd Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .205 (129-for-628) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (129-for-619) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 91st Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .307 (193 Total Bases / 628 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (26/46) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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