The Cleveland Guardians (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Guardians are 73-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 66-60 ATS.

Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 0-2, 6.40 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 6-10, 4.22 ERA

Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 50 games (+33.50 Units / 67% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 35 games (+13.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+23.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.25 Units / 70% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.95 Units / 78% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 125 games (+13.67 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 away games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.80 Units / 80% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 69 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 92 games (+13.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-63 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI).

• 73-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.67 Units / 8.59% ROI
• 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -2.93% ROI
• 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -5.8% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 66-60 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 6.57% ROI).

• 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -3.75% ROI
• 69-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.3 Units / 7.41% ROI
• 53-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -16.48% ROI

Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joey Cantillo has a strike rate of just 57% (100/174) this month (2 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (15/91) against Joey Cantillo this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Joey Cantillo has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (13/40 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 20% — third Percentile.

Joey Cantillo has thrown off-speed pitches 56% of the time (75/134) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 86th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (115 Total Bases / 210 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (129/417) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .887 (225 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (77/249) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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