The Cleveland Guardians (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 24-16 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-20 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 4.61 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-4, 6.29 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 29 games (+28.20 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+13.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.70 Units / 334% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 123 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 23-17 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 14.43% ROI).
- 24-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.82 Units / 11% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 5.45% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -13.86% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-20 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 12-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -27.04% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -9.68% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 1.06% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan Ramos (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Michael Soroka (CWS) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (45 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against Logan Allen’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — second Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (45 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.091 (69 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .658 — first Percentile.