The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Guardians vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 70-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 62-72 ATS.

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 53 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Shane Bieber has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• No trends found

Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 away games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 away games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 134 games (+13.20 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 69-65 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.15% ROI).

• 70-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 3.62% ROI
• 57-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -11.89% ROI
• 68-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 3.51% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 62-72 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -7.53% ROI).

• 69-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -2.37% ROI
• 64-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.78% ROI
• 60-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -7.11% ROI

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 32% (101 SO in 313 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 61% (434/709) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (213/1,153) against Cal Quantrill this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

28 of Cal Quantrill’s 93 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (365/492) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Dylan Bundy’s breaking pitches (431/1,124) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has struck out just 12% (24/209) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 72% (653/904) in two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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