The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-130) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Guardians are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-4 ATS.

Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 0-1, 10.81 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-1, 54.05 ERA

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 70% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 7-2 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 49.58% ROI).

• 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 56.46% ROI
• 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 16.08% ROI
• 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -27.27% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-4 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 3.57% ROI).

• 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -27.62% ROI
• 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -45.06% ROI
• 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 40.82% ROI

Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .224 (192 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has thrown breaking pitches 67% of the time (52/78) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OPS of just .566 (192 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .756 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .134 (56-for-419) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .170 — 95th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (856/1,089) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober threw fastballs up 79% of the time (840/1,063) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (1,172/1,508) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober threw his changeup 25% of the time (147/580) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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