The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Guardians are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-3 ATS.

Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 0-0, 5.40 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 0-0, 1.69 ERA

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 22 away games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 46.86% ROI).

• 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 46.56% ROI
• 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 31.25% ROI
• 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -41.81% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-3 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 20.83% ROI).

• 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -11.49% ROI
• 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -35.97% ROI
• 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 31.75% ROI

Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .766 (98 Total Bases / 128 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .414 (53-for-128) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents batted .426 (20-for-47) against Carlos Carrasco on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .274 — first Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .843 (43 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 0 Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (144/435) against Joe Ryan in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (723/1,284) against Joe Ryan since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Joe Ryan had a strike rate of 71% (884/1,249) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.

Joe Ryan had a strike rate of 69% (1,849/2,683) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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