The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Thursday, April 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Guardians are 5-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-2 ATS.

Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 0-0, 7.37 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-0, 1.29 ERA

Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 22 games at home (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 43.5% ROI).

• 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 34.32% ROI
• 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 50.98% ROI
• 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -60.26% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-2 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 45% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 13.91% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -23.28% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 19.05% ROI

Twins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tanner Bibee has not allowed a home run in any of the last 27.0 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 53.0.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 3% (1/29) against Tanner Bibee this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (9/24) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .274 (69 Total Bases / 252 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .424 — 99th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Pablo Lopez has a strike rate of 78% (38/49) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 54% (13/24) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has located his fastball up for a strike 93% (14/15) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has located his fastball inside 44% of the time (618/1,404) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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