The Cleveland Guardians (-150) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 56-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 41-49 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-1, 11.26 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-2, 6.61 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+26.20 Units / 175% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games (+17.77 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 88 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 75% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-41 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 10.66% ROI).
- 56-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.77 Units / 15.29% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.05% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -10.56% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 41-49 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -11.49% ROI).
- 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 4.99% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -14.25% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gavin Williams (CLE) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Keider Montero (DET) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 63.2.
Gavin Williams has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 10 innings — Hunter Gaddis has the longest active streak at 21.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (26/88) against Gavin Williams on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 91st Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keider Montero has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to May 29th — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 7.
Keider Montero has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (26/48) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Keider Montero has thrown off-speed pitches 60% of the time (29/48) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 46% — 81st Percentile.