Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 8
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 8

The Cleveland Guardians (-150) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Guardians are 56-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 41-49 ATS.

Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-1, 11.26 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-2, 6.61 ERA

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+26.20 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games (+17.77 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 88 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 75% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-41 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 10.66% ROI).

  • 56-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.77 Units / 15.29% ROI
  • 44-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.05% ROI
  • 38-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -10.56% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 41-49 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -11.49% ROI).

  • 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -8.73% ROI
  • 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 4.99% ROI
  • 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -14.25% ROI

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tyler Freeman (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Andres Gimenez (CLE) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gavin Williams (CLE) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Keider Montero (DET) 3.5 -125 3.5 -105

Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 63.2.

Gavin Williams has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 10 innings — Hunter Gaddis has the longest active streak at 21.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (26/88) against Gavin Williams on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 91st Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keider Montero has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to May 29th — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 7.

Keider Montero has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (26/48) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Keider Montero has thrown off-speed pitches 60% of the time (29/48) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 46% — 81st Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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