The Cleveland Guardians (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 58-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 50-62 ATS.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 43 away games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 91 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 57 away games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.50 Units / 75% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+6.05 Units / 5% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+21.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-52 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.65% ROI).

• 58-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.52% ROI
• 52-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.51% ROI
• 50-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.86% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 50-62 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -14.7% ROI).

• 43-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -10.49% ROI
• 39-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.7 Units / -24.08% ROI
• 63-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.6 Units / 16.65% ROI

Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .373 (28-for-75) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.

Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 67% of the time (611/914) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.

Zach Plesac has allowed a slugging percentage of .539 (76 Total Bases / 141 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .380 — second Percentile.

Zach Plesac has a strikeout rate of just 9% (7 SO in 81 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Hill had a strike rate of just 58% (54/93) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (15/39) against Garrett Hill this month (1 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (19/36) against Garrett Hill — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — sixth Percentile.

Garrett Hill has struck out 33% (5/15) of left-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 90th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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