The Cleveland Guardians (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 57-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 49-62 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 90 games (+12.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 90 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+20.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (+1.80 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-51 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.41% ROI).
- 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 5.84% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.58% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -6.75% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 49-62 against the Run Line (-21.65 Units / -15.54% ROI).
- 43-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -9.73% ROI
- 39-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -23.36% ROI
- 62-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.6 Units / 15.98% ROI
Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% (617/1,110) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/118) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 60% (540/894) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (36/111) against Aaron Civale with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 15% (35 SO in 240 PAs) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Drew Hutchison had a strike rate of just 57% (50/88) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.