The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-8 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Steven Kwan | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eric Haase | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matthew Boyd | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Hunter Gaddis | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -11.22% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.47% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -21.88% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -21.45% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 23.62% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -31.17% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (9/68) against Hunter Gaddis on non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/44) against Hunter Gaddis on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (2/21) against Hunter Gaddis on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/49) against Hunter Gaddis on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has walked 7 of 29 right-handed batters (24%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has a strike rate of just 55% (59/107) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 68.0.