The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Guardians are 80-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 76-64 ATS.

Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 11-8, 3.91 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 14-8, 3.11 ERA

Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Royals and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 49 games (+21.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 41 games (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 139 games (+11.22 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+8.89 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 69 games at home (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 69 games at home (+6.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 70-69 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 2.4% ROI).

• 80-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.22 Units / 6.29% ROI
• 66-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -3.81% ROI
• 65-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -4.96% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-64 against the Run Line (+0.39 Units / 0.21% ROI).

• 75-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 3.41% ROI
• 64-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -8.29% ROI
• 70-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -0.68% ROI

Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ben Lively has an average spin rate of 1993.9 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 2424.1 — fourth Percentile.

Ben Lively has an average fastball velocity of just 90.4 MPH since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 93.8 — fifth Percentile.

Ben Lively has an average spin rate of 1986.3 RPM on fastballs this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 2237.1 — fifth Percentile.

Ben Lively has averaged 90.1 MPH on fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — third Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2022 season (10th best among qualified RPs)– 90th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3213.4 RPM on curveballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 2531.0 — 100th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (174/555) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 93rd Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed a just .298 SLG versus the top of the order (second best)– 98th Percentile and .438 versus the bottom of the order this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
Read Full Article