The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Guardians are 52-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 48-37 ATS.

Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 5.47 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 10-2, 2.28 ERA

Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+18.77 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+17.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 67 games (+16.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.64 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 43 games at home (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 46-35 against the Run Line (+17.3 Units / 17.67% ROI).

• 52-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.77 Units / 18.02% ROI
• 39-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.83% ROI
• 36-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -7.41% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 48-37 against the Run Line (+2.79 Units / 2.37% ROI).

• 46-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 7.27% ROI
• 36-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -14.62% ROI
• 45-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 5.62% ROI

Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .758 (125 Total Bases / 165 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .550 — 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (115 Total Bases / 197 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of .953 (222 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .685 — first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .669 (81 Total Bases / 121 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .394 — fi rst Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (502/1,045) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

9 of Seth Lugo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 4th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 95th Percentile.

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2022 season (10th best among qualified RPs)– 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .258 (51-for-198) against Seth Lugo in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 98th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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