The Cleveland Guardians (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Guardians are 51-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 47-36 ATS.

Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 3-4, 4.65 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 5-5, 4.41 ERA

Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Royals and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games (+18.87 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+16.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+10.39 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 45-34 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 17.52% ROI).

• 51-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.87 Units / 18.52% ROI
• 37-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -3.13% ROI
• 36-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -4.94% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 47-36 against the Run Line (+3.54 Units / 3.1% ROI).

• 45-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 7.43% ROI
• 34-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -17.17% ROI
• 45-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 8.31% ROI

Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Triston McKenzie has walked 27 of 164 right-handed batters (17%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 24 of 135 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has a strike rate of just 59% (377/639) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 31 of 209 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (200 Total Bases / 273 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .574 — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 34 of 267 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (68 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.250 (20 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when behind in the count this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .621 — third Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
Read Full Article