The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Guardians are 51-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 46-36 ATS.

Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 7-3, 3.05 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-6, 4.09 ERA

Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 78 games (+19.97 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.39 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 45-33 against the Run Line (+17.8 Units / 18.76% ROI).

• 51-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.97 Units / 19.82% ROI
• 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.9% ROI
• 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -6.18% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 46-36 against the Run Line (+2.54 Units / 2.26% ROI).

• 44-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 6.49% ROI
• 34-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -16.15% ROI
• 44-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 7.29% ROI

Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .193 against Ben Lively vs left-handed batters this season — seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP– 93rd Percentile. Left handed batters hit .296 (55-for-186) against him last season — 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (27/294) against Ben Lively since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (44/254) against Ben Lively this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (135/737) against Ben Lively in non-two strike counts since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 25% — thir d Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (503/1,034) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (790/1,632) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .542 (333 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .706 — 97th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (167/336) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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