The Cleveland Guardians (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Guardians are 43-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 37-30 ATS.

Guardians vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-1, 3.77 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 6-2, 2.96 ERA

Guardians vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 43 games (+36.10 Units / 84% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+19.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+16.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games (+16.87 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+14.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 37-28 against the Run Line (+14.8 Units / 19.35% ROI).

• 43-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.87 Units / 19.72% ROI
• 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.32% ROI
• 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -6.77% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 37-30 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 4.39% ROI).

• 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -4.27% ROI
• 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -10.85% ROI
• 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 1.16% ROI

Reds vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 10% (3/31) against Tanner Bibee when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .167 (18-for-108) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .231 (117 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 88th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .390 (46-for-118) against Tanner Bibee in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — fifth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (223/698) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 98th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .369 (314 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Nick Lodolo — 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
Read Full Article