The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Guardians vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 51-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 45-55 ATS.

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 39 away games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 10 games (+11.05 Units / 79% ROI)
• Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)

Rays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 80 games (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 53 away games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+5.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games at home (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 53-46 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 2.14% ROI).

• 51-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 3.84% ROI
• 46-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -4.31% ROI
• 46-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -4.31% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 45-55 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -8.05% ROI).

• 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -5.62% ROI
• 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -6.82% ROI
• 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.98% ROI

Zach Plesac: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .388 (26-for-67) against Zach Plesac with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (2/14) against Zach Plesac — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.

Zach Plesac has allowed an OPS of 1.044 (76 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .711 — first Percentile.

Zach Plesac has allowed a slugging percentage of .597 (40 Total Bases / 67 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .397 — third Percentile.

Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corey Kluber has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (545/1,584) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has a strikeout rate of just 12% (12 SO in 99 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 21% — sixth Percentile.

Corey Kluber has struck out just 4% (1/25) of left-handed batters he faced — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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