The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Guardians vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 83-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 80-68 ATS.
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -110 |
Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Morris | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 78-70 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 83-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.55 Units / 9.44% ROI
- 66-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -9.23% ROI
- 74-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 0.7% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 80-68 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 2.41% ROI).
- 64-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.25% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -8.95% ROI
Cody Morris: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Cody Morris this month (4 games) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Cody Morris has allowed a slugging percentage of .630 (17 Total Bases / 27 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 10th Percentile.
Cody Morris has allowed an OPS of .984 (31 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .685 — 12th Percentile.
Cody Morris has walked 9 of 68 batters (13%) this month (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (25/96) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jon Gray vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 417.6 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Right-handed batters are hitting just .193 (43-for-223) against Jon Gray this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 94th Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .246 (240 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 93rd Percentile.