The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Guardians are 27-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 18-26 ATS.

Guardians vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-3, 5.36 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 1-1, 2.37 ERA

Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 32 games (+30.20 Units / 94% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+13.00 Units / 93% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Davis Wendzel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 89% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+10.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.82 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.75 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 26-17 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 19.91% ROI).

• 27-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.82 Units / 15.56% ROI
• 22-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 2.42% ROI
• 19-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -10.82% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-26 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -19.12% ROI).

• 22-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -9.89% ROI
• 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -17.42% ROI
• 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 8.9% ROI

Rangers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .385 (57-for-148) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.020 (153 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .742 — second Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (156 Total Bases / 183 ABs) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .595 — first Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .851 (178 PA’s) this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — sixth Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (81/192) against Jon Gray this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown his slider 54% of the time (806/1,486) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 28% (24/85) against Jon Gray this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (68/199) against Jon Gray this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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