The Cleveland Guardians (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 41-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 26-38 ATS.

Guardians vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-5, 5.66 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 1-7, 5.69 ERA

Guardians vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 41 games (+38.10 Units / 93% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+18.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+9.10 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 48 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 63 games (+14.87 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 63 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games (+4.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+2.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 35-28 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 16.04% ROI).

• 41-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.87 Units / 17.87% ROI
• 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.22% ROI
• 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -6.9% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 26-38 against the Run Line (-22.91 Units / -26.44% ROI).

• 22-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -25.61% ROI
• 34-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 3.7% ROI
• 29-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -11.42% ROI

Marlins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .387 (60-for-155) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .735 (114 Total Bases / 155 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OBP of .396 (255 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .310 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .464 (90-for-194) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 0 Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (211/825) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .209 — fourth Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 59% (104/177) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .211 — third Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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