The Cleveland Guardians (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-2 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Josh Naylor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Steven Kwan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Josh Naylor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Steven Kwan | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Josh Naylor | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Steven Kwan | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Quantrill | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 172 games (+22.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 87 away games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games at home (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 61% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 23.26% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 51.67% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.88% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 25.76% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -23.53% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -46.99% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.88% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 25.76% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
30 of Cal Quantrill’s 101 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 62% (533/861) in two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (94/499) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,540/3,626) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,138/2,243) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 97th Percentile.