The Cleveland Guardians (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Guardians are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-2 ATS.

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
• Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
• Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 172 games (+22.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 87 away games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 85 games at home (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 61% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 23.26% ROI).

• 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 51.67% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.88% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 25.76% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -23.53% ROI).

• 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -46.99% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.88% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 25.76% ROI

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

30 of Cal Quantrill’s 101 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 62% (533/861) in two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (94/499) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales had a strikeout rate of just 13% (103/783) in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,540/3,626) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,138/2,243) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 97th Percentile.

  
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