Guardians vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 1
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 1

The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Guardians vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Guardians vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Tommy La Stella 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Kolten Wong 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jarred Kelenic 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Tommy La Stella 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Kolten Wong 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Jarred Kelenic 0.5 -120 0.5 -110

Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Tommy La Stella 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
Kolten Wong 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
RBis will Jarred Kelenic 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Gilbert 4.5 -135 4.5 +105
Aaron Civale 4.5 -140 4.5 +105

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 170 games (+20.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 85 away games (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games at home (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 168 games (+4.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Hitters have swung at 56% of Aaron Civale’s pitches (593/1,065) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 61% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .126 (12 GB hits out of 95 GBs) against Aaron Civale with the shift since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) versus Aaron Civale on inside fastballs in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (31/100) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 53 of Logan Gilbert’s 287 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

  
Read Full Article