The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Phoenix.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Guardians vs Brewers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Guardians are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-5 ATS.
Guardians vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 away games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+6.12 Units / 6% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-5 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -23.71% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -25.87% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -27.53% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 21.26% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -22.89% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -39.07% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -36.32% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 29.95% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie allowed a slugging percentage of .576 (53 Total Bases / 92 ABs) with runners in scoring position last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 34% (170/502) against Triston McKenzie last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .481 (13 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Triston McKenzie with runners in scoring position last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (62/190) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has allowed an OPS of just .557 (654 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .689 — 97th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has thrown fastballs 62% of the time (1,099/1,785) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.