The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Guardians are 72-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 64-58 ATS.

Guardians vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 10-4, 3.42 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 7-7, 4.14 ERA

Guardians vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 48 games (+48.50 Units / 101% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 24 away games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+17.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+16.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+16.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games at home (+16.20 Units / 74% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 122 games (+14.37 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 64 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 118 games (+17.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 122 games (+11.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 48 games at home (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 122 games (+7.80 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games at home (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 60-62 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.17% ROI).

• 72-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.37 Units / 9.2% ROI
• 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.15% ROI
• 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.62% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 64-58 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.2% ROI).

• 70-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 7.47% ROI
• 67-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +15 Units / 11.25% ROI
• 48-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.85 Units / -19.13% ROI

Brewers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (64/199) against Tanner Bibee this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — eighth Percentile.

The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 380.0 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .246 (207 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 88th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .437 (83 Total Bases / 190 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 15th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% (149 SO in 485 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 58% (450/769) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .210 (92-for-439) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 96th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has walked 18 of 216 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 19th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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