The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Guardians are 19-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 10-18 ATS.

Guardians vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 1-2, 4.63 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-4, 9.87 ERA

Guardians vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+18.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.75 Units / 96% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+16.80 Units / 168% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 135 games (+15.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 66 of their last 118 games (+7.21 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 19-9 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 30.37% ROI).

• 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.97 Units / 26.92% ROI
• 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 9.56% ROI
• 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -17.89% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 10-18 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -23.31% ROI).

• 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -40.29% ROI
• 8-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -37.56% ROI
• 18-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 29.23% ROI

Astros vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .483 (83-for-172) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .366 against Carlos Carrasco since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .399 (55-for-138) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (112 Total Bases / 171 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .445 — 0 Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has an ERA of 9.68 (17.2 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (32-for-81) against Hunter Brown this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .600 (35 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (175/291) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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