The San Francisco Giants (+140) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-165) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Giants are 74-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-68 ATS.
Giants vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Mason Black 0-4, 7.34 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 13-7, 3.31 ERA
Giants vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+20.00 Units / 143% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.65 Units / 90% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+9.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.95 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+19.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 38 games (+16.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 away games (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+8.14 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+11.24 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games at home (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+6.44 Units / 8% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 75-78 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -5.14% ROI).
- 74-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 78-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 1.55% ROI
- 69-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -9.95% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-68 against the Run Line (+7.48 Units / 3.62% ROI).
- 82-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 3.29% ROI
- 67-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.5 Units / -12.34% ROI
- 80-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 3.32% ROI
Royals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Massey (KC) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Royals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Massey (KC) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yuli Gurriel (KC) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) |
0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) |
0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Michael Massey (KC) |
0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) |
5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Mason Black (SF) |
3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to May 6th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Hitters have swung at 73% of Mason Black’s pitches (48/66) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 59% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Mason Black this month (2 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Mason Black has a strike rate of 70% (121/172) this month (2 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has a strike rate of just 62% (743/1,189) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (11/42) against Michael Wacha this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of .748 (243 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 16th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (664/1,398) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.