The San Francisco Giants (+165) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-200) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Giants are 70-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 72-72 ATS.

Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Giants starting pitcher: Spencer Bivens 3-1, 2.86 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 5-4, 4.13 ERA

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 46 games (+34.00 Units / 74% ROI)
• Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+16.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+31.80 Units / 94% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 71 away games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 111 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 56 games (+3.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 112 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 69-74 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -6.08% ROI).

• 70-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -7.64% ROI
• 72-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.51% ROI
• 65-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.35 Units / -9.09% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 72-72 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.21% ROI).

• 81-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 1.88% ROI
• 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 5.12% ROI
• 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -14.21% ROI

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/40) against Spencer Bivens over the last 14 days — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (3/25) against Spencer Bivens over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.

Spencer Bivens has a strikeout rate of just 14% (3 SO in 22 PAs) over the last 14 days — 15th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 14th Percentile.

Spencer Bivens has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) in his last three appearances — tied for 11th lowest among among 113 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 13th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Musgrove has not allowed a home run in any of the last 41.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 81.1.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of just .619 (346 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .731 — 93rd Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to May 21st — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of just .341 (232 Total Bases / 680 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 92nd Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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