The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Giants are 69-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 72-71 ATS.
Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 11-9, 3.43 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 12-10, 3.63 ERA
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+35.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+16.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+31.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+9.40 Units / 125% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 away games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 55 games (+2.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 66 games (+16.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 111 games (+6.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 68-74 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -6.69% ROI).
- 69-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 71-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI
- 65-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -8.4% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 72-71 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 1.78% ROI).
- 81-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 77-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 64-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -13.56% ROI
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Logan Webb (SF) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Logan Webb this season is 424.5 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.3
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (315/551) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (135/454) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (531/858) against Logan Webb since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 92 of 835 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (254/690) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (836/1,403) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (286/584) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.