The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 80-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 71-88 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Wynns has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games at home (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 64 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 76-84 against the Run Line (-15.85 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 80-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -9.16% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -2.79% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 71-88 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -11.83% ROI).
- 88-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 73-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -9.37% ROI
- 82-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.04% ROI
Carlos Rodon: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 41% (105 SO in 258 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (237 SO in 710 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (56 SO in 142 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (3/20) against Carlos Rodon — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 37% of the time (1,363/3,641) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 39% of the time (553/1,406) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 94th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (377/981) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 40% of the time (1,664/4,120) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.