The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Runs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.80 Units / 140% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+2.55 Units / 127% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 1 away games (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb threw his changeup 46% of the time (371/813) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 65% (199/308) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 48% of the time (465/963) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 31% of the time (260/848) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has 61 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 3rd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.5 MPH on the 259 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2022 season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Yu Darvish has an average spin rate of 2764.4 RPM on sliders since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 97th Percentile.