Giants vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Giants vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Miami.

The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Giants vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Giants are 5-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-11 ATS.

Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Avisail Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Darin Ruf 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
David Villar 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Thairo Estrada 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Darin Ruf 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
David Villar 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Thairo Estrada 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Darin Ruf 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
David Villar 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Thairo Estrada 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Cobb 4.5 -140 4.5 +105
Trevor Rogers 6.5 +115 6.5 -150
Trevor Rogers 5.5 -160 5.5 +125

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.80 Units / 11% ROI)

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -28.48% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -41.3% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 8.6% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -16.01% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -28.34% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 11.62% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -30.08% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 21.04% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (146/231) against Alex Cobb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (767/1,885) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (184/295) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (1,105/2,668) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .467 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .322 — second Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (164/544) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of 1.100 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .762 — third Percentile.

  
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